28 Jul 2010, 11:45am
Climate and Weather
by admin

Climate Change in Oregon Is Nil

If you are an AGW Kool Aid drinker in Oregon, please don’t read the following. It will blow your mind, and we don’t want that to happen.

Observed Climate Change and the Negligible Global Effect of Greenhouse-gas Emission Limits in the State of Oregon

Written by the Science and Public Policy Institute, 26 July 2010 [here]

Full text [here] (1.1 MB)


In this report, we review the long-term climate history of Oregon and find little in the way of evidence that the greenhouse gas build-up in the atmosphere has done much to alter Oregon’s climate. While temperatures have generally appeared to have risen slightly across the state over the past 100 years, they have in fact fallen a bit during the past 20 years. The state’s precipitation and drought histories are marked by annual and decadal variability rather than long-term change. Variations in the state’s climate are significantly influenced by natural variations and cycles driven in part by decadal variations in the Pacific atmosphere/ocean system. Future sea level rise will be muted by Oregon’s geologic processes which generally act in opposition to rising oceans by raising the level of the state’s coastlines. Further, scares of increasing tropical diseases are easily shown to be misapplication of the true facts.

Along with the observed climate history of Oregon, we analyze what the future impacts on the climate will be if Oregon ceased all of its greenhouse gas emissions, now and forever. What we find is eye-opening. Even a complete cessation of greenhouse emissions from Oregon will likely slow the future rate of global warming by less than one thousandths (<0.001) of a ºC per century. The impact of sea level will be an equally meager one hundredths of an inch. These changes are scientifically and realistically meaningless.

What’s worse, is that greenhouse gas emissions are increasing so rapidly in China, that new emissions from that country will completely subsume the entirely of Oregon’s hypothetical emissions cessation in less than one month’s time! Clearly, any plan merely calling for reductions in greenhouse gas emissions will fare even poorer. There is simply no climatic gain to be had from emissions reductions in Oregon.

All told, Oregon has been little impacted by global “climate change” and regulations prescribing a reduction in the state’s greenhouse gas emissions will have no detectable effect on future climate change. Unfortunately, the same can’t be said about the impact of emissions regulations on the state’s economy, which have been projected to be large and negative. As such, state and/or federal plans aimed at limiting the state’s greenhouse gas emissions presents a perfect recipe for an all pain, no gain outcome for Oregon’s citizenry.



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